AOP₂ adjudicated
17.4%
Allowed 872 of n=5,003 decided.
binomial model interval (iid assumption): 16.4%–18.5%.
Current appeal route: POPLA second-stage appeal. Checked 2026-10-08 against the official AOS lists.
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Figures on this page describe historical POPLA reporting; they do not establish the current appeal route.
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This is not my type of noticeObserved outcome profile
Civil Enforcement Ltd
Observed POPLA outcomes among second-stage appeals submitted in the reporting period.
Stage before figures
This page does not describe the operator’s first-stage acceptance rate. It covers only published second-stage reporting.
Historical outcome profile and KADOE statistics
Reporting period 2024/25Reported closures 6,713Source stage POPLA second stage
AOP₃ closed-case favourable share
Not calculated
n=6,713 reported closures, but the operator/appellant withdrawal split is not published per operator.
Operator-withdrawal rate
Not available
POPLA reports 1,710 combined not-contested cases for this entity; the withdrawing party is not identified.
Closed-case decomposition: allowed represents 13.0% of reported closures. The remaining not-contested cases cannot be separated by withdrawing party at operator level.
Descriptive scale measure
AOP₄ intensity
ADR submissions per 1,000 KADOE requests over a fully overlapping window.
Per 1,000 KADOE requests
8.7
5,914 submissions ÷ 677,048 requests. No interval.
| Numerator period | 2024-10-01 to 2025-09-30 | Denominator period | 2024-10-01 to 2025-09-30 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Window overlap | 12/12 months | Comparability | descriptive proxy |
| Lag assumption | same-month descriptive alignment; no causal lag inferred | Issued kind | registered-keeper data requests; not tickets issued |
Years are rows
Observed trend
| Reporting period | AOP₂ adjudicated | Allowed | Refused | Combined not-contested | AOP₄ / 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | 11.8% (n=5,494) | 646 | 4,848 | 1,344 | 11.3 |
| 2024/25 | 17.4% (n=5,003) | 872 | 4,131 | 1,710 | 8.7 |
No predictive series is produced: only two comparable reporting periods are present. Regime exposure is shown rather than silently treating periods as identical.
Attribution and reconciliation
Outcome facts are calculated from the POPLA 2025 Annual Report Appendix (2024/25). KADOE request counts come from DVLA’s quarterly data-sharing release under the Open Government Licence.
Source note: source report submitted table mismatch; entity rows retained as printed. No part of the source-level unallocated submitted total is assigned to this entity.
This profile is independent and is not affiliated with Civil Enforcement Ltd, POPLA, DVLA or a trade association.
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